Oct 30, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Oct 30 05:35:29 UTC 2021 (20211030 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211030 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211030 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211030 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211030 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211030 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 300535

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1235 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

   Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms will not occur on Sunday throughout the
   contiguous United States.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough will move southeast and expand across the Midwest
   and maintain cyclonic flow from the northern High Plains into the
   lower Great Lakes.  At the surface, high pressure will extend from
   the northern High Plains through much of the area east of the
   Rockies.  Mid-level moisture and a series of very weak disturbances
   within a moderate belt of westerly flow will move across northern UT
   and CO. Weak convection may yield a few lightning flashes with this
   activity. Elsewhere, tranquil conditions will prevail.

   ..Smith.. 10/30/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z