Oct 30, 2021 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Oct 30 16:43:53 UTC 2021 (20211030 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211030 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211030 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211030 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211030 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211030 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 301643

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1143 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

   Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms will not occur on Sunday throughout the
   contiguous United States.

   ...Synopsis...

   A mid/upper level trough will pivot eastward across the northern
   Plains and Great Lakes vicinity, maintaining large-scale cyclonic
   flow over much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Surface high
   pressure will build over the Plains while low pressure over the
   eastern states lifts north/northeast. Continental trajectories will
   result in a dearth of boundary layer moisture, and quiescent weather
   conditions will prevail. Further west, a series of weak midlevel
   disturbances will migrate across the Great Basin and a few
   high-based, terrain-influenced thunderstorms are possible from
   northern Utah into northwest Colorado.

   ..Leitman.. 10/30/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z