Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 301643
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 AM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms will not occur on Sunday throughout the
contiguous United States.
...Synopsis...
A mid/upper level trough will pivot eastward across the northern
Plains and Great Lakes vicinity, maintaining large-scale cyclonic
flow over much of the U.S. east of the Rockies. Surface high
pressure will build over the Plains while low pressure over the
eastern states lifts north/northeast. Continental trajectories will
result in a dearth of boundary layer moisture, and quiescent weather
conditions will prevail. Further west, a series of weak midlevel
disturbances will migrate across the Great Basin and a few
high-based, terrain-influenced thunderstorms are possible from
northern Utah into northwest Colorado.
..Leitman.. 10/30/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z