Oct 31, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 31 05:32:48 UTC 2021 (20211031 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211031 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211031 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211031 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211031 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211031 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 310532

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1232 AM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms will not occur over the contiguous United
   States on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...
   Cyclonic mid-level flow will be maintained across the Midwest and
   Northeast due to a mid-level low over northern Quebec.  A
   disturbance will move from the eastern Pacific into the Pacific
   Northwest states.  In the low levels, surface high pressure will be
   centered over the northern Great Plains.  Aside from a few lightning
   flashes with weak convection over northern CO and the eastern part
   of the Upper Peninsula of MI, thunderstorms are not forecast.

   ..Smith.. 10/31/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z