Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 311702
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms will not occur over the contiguous United
States on Monday.
...Synopsis...
Cyclonic upper flow will be maintained from the northern Plains to
the Northeast as an upper low migrates across Quebec and Ontario.
Cold temperatures aloft and weak shortwave impulses migrating around
the upper low may be sufficient for a few thunderstorms across parts
of the Upper Peninsula of MI eastward toward Lake Huron. A few
lightning strikes also may occur near higher terrain of northern CO.
Otherwise, surface high pressure centered over the northern/central
Plains and a dearth of boundary-layer moisture will preclude
thunderstorm activity across most of the contiguous U.S. on Monday.
..Leitman.. 10/31/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z