Oct 31, 2021 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 31 17:02:12 UTC 2021 (20211031 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211031 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211031 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211031 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211031 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211031 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 311702

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1202 PM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms will not occur over the contiguous United
   States on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...

   Cyclonic upper flow will be maintained from the northern Plains to
   the Northeast as an upper low migrates across Quebec and Ontario.
   Cold temperatures aloft and weak shortwave impulses migrating around
   the upper low may be sufficient for a few thunderstorms across parts
   of the Upper Peninsula of MI eastward toward Lake Huron. A few
   lightning strikes also may occur near higher terrain of northern CO.
   Otherwise, surface high pressure centered over the northern/central
   Plains and a dearth of boundary-layer moisture will preclude
   thunderstorm activity across most of the contiguous U.S. on Monday.

   ..Leitman.. 10/31/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z