Nov 1, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 1 05:42:12 UTC 2021 (20211101 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211101 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211101 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211101 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211101 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211101 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 010542

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1242 AM CDT Mon Nov 01 2021

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
   States on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level disturbance initially over the Four Corners will quickly
   move east into OK/north TX by early Wednesday morning while a trough
   remains centered over the Great Lakes.  In the low levels, extensive
   surface high pressure east of the Rockies will lead to mainly
   tranquil conditions over a large part of the Lower 48 states.  The
   exception will be over the southern Great Plains with weak
   isentropic lift/warm-air advection leading to increasing clouds and
   the chance for isolated showers/thunderstorms by late in the day. 
   The coverage of weak elevated thunderstorms is forecast to increase
   Tuesday night in a west-east corridor from the Caprock eastward near
   the Red River.

   ..Smith.. 11/01/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z