Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 010542
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Mon Nov 01 2021
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level disturbance initially over the Four Corners will quickly
move east into OK/north TX by early Wednesday morning while a trough
remains centered over the Great Lakes. In the low levels, extensive
surface high pressure east of the Rockies will lead to mainly
tranquil conditions over a large part of the Lower 48 states. The
exception will be over the southern Great Plains with weak
isentropic lift/warm-air advection leading to increasing clouds and
the chance for isolated showers/thunderstorms by late in the day.
The coverage of weak elevated thunderstorms is forecast to increase
Tuesday night in a west-east corridor from the Caprock eastward near
the Red River.
..Smith.. 11/01/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z