Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 020534
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 AM CDT Tue Nov 02 2021
Valid 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the
contiguous United States on Wednesday.
...Synopsis...
A large-scale mid-level trough is forecast east of the Rockies on
Wednesday. A disturbance initially over the southern High Plains
will move southeast across much of TX during the period. Farther
west, a mid-level ridge will shift eastward across the interior West
as a mid-level trough moves into the Pacific Northwest. A frontal
zone will push southward through north-central TX and into the Hill
Country during with afternoon with weak elevated thunderstorms north
of the surface boundary. This activity is forecast to continue
southeastward in the form of a few clusters of showers/thunderstorms
eventually reaching coastal southeast TX and the lower Rio Grande
Valley Wednesday night.
Farther west, a vigorous mid-level trough over the eastern Pacific
will approach northern CA/OR with isolated thunderstorms possible
near the coastal range.
..Smith.. 11/02/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z