Nov 2, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 2 05:34:38 UTC 2021 (20211102 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211102 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211102 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211102 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211102 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211102 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 020534

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1234 AM CDT Tue Nov 02 2021

   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the
   contiguous United States on Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A large-scale mid-level trough is forecast east of the Rockies on
   Wednesday.  A disturbance initially over the southern High Plains
   will move southeast across much of TX during the period.  Farther
   west, a mid-level ridge will shift eastward across the interior West
   as a mid-level trough moves into the Pacific Northwest.  A frontal
   zone will push southward through north-central TX and into the Hill
   Country during with afternoon with weak elevated thunderstorms north
   of the surface boundary.  This activity is forecast to continue
   southeastward in the form of a few clusters of showers/thunderstorms
   eventually reaching coastal southeast TX and the lower Rio Grande
   Valley Wednesday night.

   Farther west, a vigorous mid-level trough over the eastern Pacific
   will approach northern CA/OR with isolated thunderstorms possible
   near the coastal range.

   ..Smith.. 11/02/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z