Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030552
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 AM CDT Wed Nov 03 2021
Valid 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Thursday.
...Synopsis...
A larger-scale mid-level trough residing over the eastern half of
the Lower 48 states will feature a disturbance moving from TX into
the central Gulf of Mexico by early Friday morning. In the low
levels, a front over the western Gulf and south of the TX coast will
push southeastward as a weak surface low develops and moves into the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico by early Friday morning. Model guidance
is consistent in showing showers and thunderstorms expanding in
coverage over the eastern Gulf mainly Thursday night with isolated
thunderstorms mainly affecting the western portion of the FL
Peninsula and lower Keys. Relatively weak lapse rates/modest
low-level moisture will likely preclude severe storm development.
Elsewhere, a mid-level trough will move from the Pacific Northwest
into the northern High Plains while a subsequent upstream trough
approaches the Pacific Northwest coast by early Friday morning.
..Smith.. 11/03/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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