Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 060522
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 AM CDT Sat Nov 06 2021
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.
...Synopsis...
Quiescent weather conditions are expected across much of the CONUS
with a lack of boundary-layer moisture/instability and surface high
pressure centered over the Mid-South vicinity. A surface low over
the Gulf Stream and a departing upper trough moving offshore from
the Atlantic coast could support a few thunderstorms near the Outer
Banks vicinity. Additional isolated thunderstorms are possible along
the WA/OR coasts as a series of shortwave impulses shift eastward
over the Pacific Northwest. Instability will remain weak, but steep
lapse rates and cool temperatures aloft could be sufficient for a
few flashes. However, severe storms are not expected.
..Leitman.. 11/06/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z