Nov 6, 2021 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 6 05:22:24 UTC 2021 (20211106 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211106 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211106 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211106 0600 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211106 0600 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211106 0600 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060522

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1222 AM CDT Sat Nov 06 2021

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

   ...Synopsis...

   Quiescent weather conditions are expected across much of the CONUS
   with a lack of boundary-layer moisture/instability and surface high
   pressure centered over the Mid-South vicinity. A surface low over
   the Gulf Stream and a departing upper trough moving offshore from
   the Atlantic coast could support a few thunderstorms near the Outer
   Banks vicinity. Additional isolated thunderstorms are possible along
   the WA/OR coasts as a series of shortwave impulses shift eastward
   over the Pacific Northwest. Instability will remain weak, but steep
   lapse rates and cool temperatures aloft could be sufficient for a
   few flashes. However, severe storms are not expected.

   ..Leitman.. 11/06/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z