Nov 6, 2021 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 6 16:55:12 UTC 2021 (20211106 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211106 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211106 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211106 1730 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211106 1730 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211106 1730 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 061655

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 AM CDT Sat Nov 06 2021

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are still not expected on Sunday.

   ...Synopsis...
   Upper-level ridging will dominate much of the central U.S.
   tomorrow/Sunday, promoting large-scale subsidence atop a cool, dry
   low-level airmass, limiting thunderstorm potential for much of the
   CONUS. A couple thunderstorms may linger along the immediate North
   Carolina coastal waters region tomorrow morning, as a surface low
   departs the area. 

   A couple thunderstorms also remain possible along the Pacific
   Northwest coastline as broad upper troughing overspreads the region.
   Forecast soundings depict a maritime polar surface airmass in place,
   with cooler temperatures aloft promoting marginal buoyancy for a
   couple lightning flashes through the period. Given 40-50 kt winds
   present as low as 850 mb, a couple strong wind gusts may accompany
   any thunderstorm, though an organized threat for severe gusts is not
   expected to materialize.

   ..Squitieri.. 11/06/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z