Nov 8, 2021 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 8 06:11:22 UTC 2021 (20211108 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211108 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211108 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211108 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211108 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211108 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080611

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1211 AM CST Mon Nov 08 2021

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...

   An upper trough near the Pacific coast will shift eastward to the
   High Plains by Wednesday morning. At the surface, a cold front will
   extend from near Lake Michigan into Oklahoma and northwest Texas
   Tuesday afternoon. The front will stall as surface lee troughing
   develops over the High Plains as the western large-scale trough
   approaches the Rockies Tuesday night. This will result in increasing
   southerly low level flow and modest Gulf moisture will begin to
   spread northward across TX/OK. While some warm advection showers may
   develop across parts of the southern Plains into the Ozarks,
   thunderstorm potential will remain low given a lack of greater
   instability and weak large-scale ascent.

   ..Leitman.. 11/08/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z