Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 100614
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1214 AM CST Wed Nov 10 2021
Valid 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.
...Synopsis...
An upper low over the northern Plains will deepen and shift
east/southeast to the Upper Midwest on Thursday. Meanwhile, the
attendant mid/upper trough will pivot eastward across the
central/eastern U.S. At the surface, a cold front will extend from a
low over western WI into south-central TX early in the period. While
low-level warm advection and southerly flow will allow for
increasing moisture ahead of the front across the Southeast and
Mid-Atlantic, instability will be limited by widespread cloud
cover/precipitation and poor midlevel lapse rates. Isolated
thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the front across a large
portion of the Southeast into the Mid-Atlantic, but severe
thunderstorms are not expected.
..Leitman.. 11/10/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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