Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 110624
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 AM CST Thu Nov 11 2021
Valid 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Friday.
...Synopsis...
An upper low over the Great Lakes region and its attendant trough
centered on the mid/lower MS Valley will pivot eastward to the
eastern U.S. on Friday. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to
extend from central NY/PA southward to the VA/NC Piedmont then
southwest to the FL Panhandle early in the period. The front should
push offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts during the afternoon and
sag southward across the FL Peninsula through the remainder of the
period. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the front,
but weak instability and poor lapse rates will limit severe
potential from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic. Instability will
be greater across FL where better boundary-layer moisture will be in
place. However, weak forcing and modest vertical shear, along with
poor midlevel lapse rates will limit storm organization/intensity
and severe thunderstorms are not expected.
..Leitman.. 11/11/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
| 
)
