Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 130602
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1202 AM CST Sat Nov 13 2021
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Sunday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
A large-scale upper trough will remain over much of the eastern
CONUS on Sunday. Within this feature, a pronounced mid-level
shortwave trough will move from the Great Lakes/Midwest across the
OH/TN Valleys through the day, eventually reaching the East Coast by
Sunday night. Due to multiple prior frontal passages, substantial
low-level moisture is forecast to remain confined over the Gulf of
Mexico and parts of far south FL. Accordingly, instability will
likely remain nil ahead of the eastward-progressing shortwave
trough, with minimal thunderstorm potential apparent across the
CONUS on Sunday.
..Gleason.. 11/13/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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