Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 131637
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1037 AM CST Sat Nov 13 2021
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are generally not expected across the contiguous
United States on Sunday.
...Synopsis...
Dry and stable conditions are expected across the CONUS on Sunday,
in the wake of multiple cold-frontal passages across the central and
eastern states and the Gulf of Mexico. Another pocket of cold
midlevel temperatures (colder than -15C at 700 mb) will move over
Lake Michigan during the day, and Lake Huron and Lake Erie late
Sunday night, resulting in weak low-level buoyancy, though it
remains uncertain if lake-enhanced convection will become deep
enough to support any lightning activity. Elsewhere, thunderstorms
are not expected.
..Dean.. 11/13/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z