Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 141704
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1104 AM CST Sun Nov 14 2021
Valid 151200Z - 161200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Monday.
...Synopsis...
A mid- to upper-level trough will move across the Northeast on
Monday while a progressive flow regime ensues across the northern
tier of states. Surface high pressure will be centered over the
Southeast. Relatively cool and dry conditions will lead to tranquil
weather across much of the Lower 48. Low-topped convective showers
are possible near the WA coast as a disturbance moves from the
Pacific into the northern Rockies.
..Smith.. 11/14/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z