Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 150542
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1142 PM CST Sun Nov 14 2021
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Tuesday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
An upper trough/low will move eastward across western/central Canada
and the north-central CONUS on Tuesday. At the surface, shallow and
modest low-level moisture is forecast to return northward through
the period across parts of the southern Plains and lower/mid MS
Valley along and ahead of a cold front. Even so, a strong low-level
cap will likely inhibit the development of appreciable instability
ahead of the front, and convection capable of producing lightning
appears unlikely across the CONUS.
..Gleason.. 11/15/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z