Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 151723
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CST Mon Nov 15 2021
Valid 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will move through the northern Rockies and into
the Plains on Tuesday. At the surface, lee cyclogenesis is expected
in the Central Plains. Strengthening low-level flow, in response to
the deepening surface cyclone, will advect low-level moisture
northward into portions of the Central Plains and Ozarks ahead of a
southward moving cold front. However, moisture return will be too
shallow to overcome the strong capping inversion and therefore,
thunderstorm development along or ahead of the cold front is not
anticipated.
..Bentley.. 11/15/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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