Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 190627
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1227 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
A stable, post-frontal air mass is forecast to be in place across
much of the central and eastern CONUS early Saturday. Some
modification of this air mass is anticipated across the southern
Plains throughout the day as warm and moist air returns northward
ahead of a shortwave trough moving into the central Plains. However,
this return flow will be shallow, will stable conditions prevailing.
Stable conditions will persist across much of the eastern CONUS as
well, with the exception of central/south FL. That region will
remain ahead of the remnant cold front, with dewpoints remaining the
60s. Weak low-level convergence along sea-breeze boundaries will
combine with this low-level moisture to produce isolated
thunderstorms Saturday afternoon, mainly across parts of the eastern
and southern FL Peninsula. Severe thunderstorms are not expected.
..Mosier.. 11/19/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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