Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 201724
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1124 AM CST Sat Nov 20 2021
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.
A large upper trough is forecast to become established over the
eastern US on Sunday, while an upper ridge is dominant over the
west. The associated cold front will surge southeastward across the
MS/OH/TN Valley tomorrow, resulting in scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms over the region. Models differ somewhat on the
coverage of deep convection - mainly due to weak low-level forcing
and poor thermodynamics. It appears that most thunderstorms that
can form will be elevated and post-frontal, with little risk of
severe storms.
Other scattered thunderstorms will be possible over south/central
FL, and along the Outer Banks of NC. Again, no severe storms are
expected in these areas on Sunday.
..Hart.. 11/20/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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