Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 221707
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 AM CST Mon Nov 22 2021
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
A progressive upper pattern will continue on Tuesday. An upper
trough will spread across the western states to the Plains by
Wednesday morning, while an upper ridge shifts east from the Plains
to the Appalachians. Surface high pressure and a dearth of
boundary-layer moisture across the eastern third of the CONUS will
preclude thunderstorm potential. A surface low is forecast to
develop over the northern Plains in response to the ejecting western
trough, and an increasing pressure gradient southward through the
High Plains will allow for strengthening southerly low-level flow
across the southern Plains. Increasing moisture will remain confined
to TX, where weak forcing and an otherwise stable boundary-layer
will preclude thunderstorm development.
..Leitman.. 11/22/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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