Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 251713
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1113 AM CST Thu Nov 25 2021
Valid 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No thunderstorms are forecast to develop across the contiguous
United States on Friday.
...Synopsis...
A large-scale upper trough will move across the northeast U.S.
Friday, with a weaker embedded shortwave trough over the northern
Rockies/Plains embedded within a belt of stronger west-northwest
flow extending from the Pacific Northwest to the mid-Atlantic coast.
An upper low initially over Baja Peninsula will move east across
Sonora and Chihuahua states in northern Mexico towards far West TX.
A cold front extending from New England southward across the eastern
Carolinas and northern FL Friday morning will move south/east, and
offshore of the FL Keys Friday night.
In the wake of the eastern U.S. cold front, a dry/stable continental
air mass will preclude thunderstorm development. In advance of the
front over the central/southern FL Peninsula, low-level moisture
will remain modest at best with negligible buoyancy anticipated. As
a result, thunderstorms are not expected to develop across the CONUS
on Friday.
..Bunting.. 11/25/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z