Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 261630
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CST Fri Nov 26 2021
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States
on Saturday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Within the southern stream of the mid-level westerlies, a shortwave
trough is forecast to move eastward from north-central Mexico across
much of TX on Saturday. Some modest low/mid-level moisture should
return northward across parts of TX ahead of this feature, with a
broad swath of light to moderate precipitation likely occurring
associated with the ascent preceding the upper trough/low. However,
more substantial low-level moisture is expected to remain confined
to the western Gulf of Mexico to the south of a remnant front.
Consensus of latest guidance suggests that any elevated instability
that may develop with the light to moderate precipitation over TX
should remain too shallow/meager to support a meaningful chance of
lightning flashes. Accordingly, thunderstorm chances are being held
at less than 10% for Saturday across the CONUS.
..Gleason.. 11/26/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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