Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 291705
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1105 AM CST Mon Nov 29 2021
Valid 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk of thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. Tuesday
through Tuesday night.
...Synopsis...
A broad swath of northwesterly mid/upper level flow will stretch
from the Pacific Northwest through the eastern U.S. A series of
midlevel shortwave troughs will pivot northeast across New England
and the Canadian Maritimes while another embedded shortwave trough
tracks from the northern/central Plains to the Midwest by Wednesday
morning. Surface high pressure will persist over the Southeast,
though southeasterly low-level flow will allow for at least some
shallow moisture return across western portions of the Gulf Coast
vicinity. Onshore flow also will allow for increasing boundary-layer
moisture across western WA/OR. While some weak destabilization is
possible amid modest midlevel lapse rates, relatively warm midlevel
temperatures will preclude thunderstorm activity.
..Leitman.. 11/29/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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