Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 011716
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1116 AM CST Wed Dec 01 2021
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A couple of weak thunderstorms are possible near the Rio Grande
River and higher terrain of southwest Texas, but the risk of
thunderstorms appears negligible elsewhere Thursday through Thursday
night.
...Synopsis...
Northwesterly mid/upper flow will persist across much of the U.S. on
Thursday. A somewhat flat upper ridge will migrate east/southeast
from the southern Rockies to the lower MS Valley as a shortwave
trough develops over the southern High Plains late in the period.
Surface high pressure over the southeastern states and developing
lee troughing over the High Plains will allow for southerly
low-level flow transporting Gulf moisture north and west across
parts of TX. As the upper shortwave trough approaches the Rio
Grande, weak destabilization amid this warm advection regime should
support a few thunderstorms across southwest TX, though severe
potential will remain low. Dry and stable conditions will envelop
much of the rest of the CONUS, negating thunderstorm potential.
..Leitman.. 12/01/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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