Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 060610
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1210 AM CST Mon Dec 06 2021
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Tuesday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Large-scale upper troughing will persist across much of the
central/eastern CONUS on Tuesday as a lead wave ejects from New
England northeastward over the Canadian Maritimes. Surface high
pressure is expected to dominate much of the CONUS east of the
Rockies as it slowly shifts eastward to the Atlantic Coast through
the period. Due to a prior frontal passage, rich low-level moisture
should remain confined to parts of the immediate Gulf Coast. Only
very weak boundary-layer instability is forecast to develop across
parts of north FL Tuesday afternoon, and the potential for robust
thunderstorms appears low. However, some elevated convection may
occur primarily Tuesday evening/night across parts of the Gulf Coast
states as modest low-level warm/moist advection develops on the
southern periphery of the amplifying upper trough.
..Gleason.. 12/06/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z