Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 061706
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1106 AM CST Mon Dec 06 2021
Valid 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Tuesday.
...Synopsis...
Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will be in place across much of the
CONUS early Tuesday morning, with several shortwave troughs
progressing through both the northern and southern streams. Some
trend towards confluence of the separate streams is expected to
occur across the eastern CONUS late in the period. Notable
separation in streams will remain across the western CONUS, as an
upper low develops off the southern CA coast and a fast-moving
shortwave trough moves across the Pacific Northwest/British
Columbia.
At the surface, high pressure will cover much of the eastern CONUS
by early Tuesday morning. This post-frontal high pressure will
result in predominantly stable conditions throughout most of the
period. The only exception will be within the broad warm-air
advection that occurs ahead of shortwave trough moving across the TN
Valley late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning. As a shortwave
progress eastward, showers and a few isolated thunderstorms may
develop across the Southeast. Most of this activity will be too
shallow to produce lightning, but a few embedded lightning flashes
are possible with any deeper cores.
..Mosier.. 12/06/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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