Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 070532
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 PM CST Mon Dec 06 2021
Valid 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely across the contiguous United
States on Wednesday.
...Synopsis and Discussion...
Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will probably be ongoing
at the start of the period across parts of the Southeast in a modest
low-level warm advection regime. Due to a prior frontal intrusion
into the northern Gulf of Mexico, the bulk of this morning
convection is expected to remain elevated, with only weak MUCAPE
forecast. As a large-scale upper trough progresses quickly eastward
across the eastern CONUS through the day, these thunderstorms will
likewise move off the Atlantic Coast. Latest guidance is in general
agreement that modest low-level moisture will be in place across
parts of north FL and southern GA ahead of a reinforcing cold front.
Some potential for surface-based thunderstorms may exist across this
region Wednesday afternoon. But, poor low-level convergence along
the front as low/mid-level winds quickly veer to westerly and
particularly poor mid-level lapse rates should tend to limit overall
thunderstorm coverage and intensity.
..Gleason.. 12/07/2021
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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