Dec 11, 2021 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Dec 11 05:50:43 UTC 2021 (20211211 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211211 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211211 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211211 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211211 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211211 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 110550

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1150 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm development will be possible on Sunday in south Florida
   and from Sunday into Sunday night along parts of the West Coast, but
   no severe threat is expected.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Zonal westerly mid-level flow is forecast to develop across much of
   the central and eastern U.S on Sunday. A cold front will advance
   southward across the northern Florida Peninsula with a moist airmass
   ahead of the front in central and south Florida. Isolated
   thunderstorms may form near Miami during the afternoon where surface
   dewpoints should be near 70 F and weak instability is expected to
   develop. Lightning strikes may also occur along the immediate coasts
   of Oregon, Washington and northern California as an upper-level
   trough approaches. No severe threat is forecast across the
   continental United States Sunday or Sunday night.

   ..Broyles.. 12/11/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z