Dec 12, 2021 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Dec 12 05:52:40 UTC 2021 (20211212 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211212 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211212 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211212 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211212 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211212 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 120552

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1152 PM CST Sat Dec 11 2021

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorm development will be possible across the Florida
   Peninsula on Monday, and across parts of the West Coast Monday into
   Monday night.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Southwest mid-level flow will be in place across the western U.S on
   Monday as zonal flow remains over the east half of the nation. At
   the surface, high pressure will dominate across the Gulf Coast
   states and Eastern Seaboard. A moist airmass over south and central
   Florida will result in weak instability by afternoon, where isolated
   thunderstorm development will be possible. Lightning strikes will
   also be possible from the coasts of Washington and Oregon southward
   to central California ahead of an approaching upper-level trough. No
   severe threat is expected across the continental United States
   Monday and Monday night.

   ..Broyles.. 12/12/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z