Dec 13, 2021 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 13 05:49:26 UTC 2021 (20211213 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20211213 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211213 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20211213 0700 UTC Day 2 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20211213 0700 UTC Day 2 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20211213 0700 UTC Day 2 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 130549

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1149 PM CST Sun Dec 12 2021

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday along
   parts of the West Coast, across the southern and eastern Florida
   Peninsula, and in south Texas.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level trough will approach the California coast on Tuesday
   as southwest mid-level flow remains from the Desert South into the
   Great Plains. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the trough
   along much of the West Coast on Tuesday. Further east, low-level
   moisture will return northward across the eastern half of Texas and
   into southeast Oklahoma. Enough instability may develop in south
   Texas for isolated thunderstorm development Tuesday afternoon.
   Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible in southern and eastern
   Florida Tuesday. No severe weather is expected across the
   continental United States Tuesday or Tuesday night.

   ..Broyles.. 12/13/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z