Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 130549
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1149 PM CST Sun Dec 12 2021
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated non-severe thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday along
parts of the West Coast, across the southern and eastern Florida
Peninsula, and in south Texas.
...DISCUSSION...
An upper-level trough will approach the California coast on Tuesday
as southwest mid-level flow remains from the Desert South into the
Great Plains. Thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the trough
along much of the West Coast on Tuesday. Further east, low-level
moisture will return northward across the eastern half of Texas and
into southeast Oklahoma. Enough instability may develop in south
Texas for isolated thunderstorm development Tuesday afternoon.
Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible in southern and eastern
Florida Tuesday. No severe weather is expected across the
continental United States Tuesday or Tuesday night.
..Broyles.. 12/13/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z