Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 180652
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are expected across the continental United
States Sunday or Sunday Night.
...Synopsis...
A positively tilted mid-level trough will move off the East Coast on
Sunday with a secondary trough across northern Mexico. At the
surface, a cold front will extend from a low-pressure center across
the western Atlantic through the Carolinas and Georgia and into the
central Gulf of Mexico.
...Eastern Carolinas, southeast Georgia, and northern Florida...
Some storm activity may occur along and ahead of a surface front
near the coastal Carolinas and southeast Georgia Sunday afternoon.
However, this storm activity is expected to be mostly weak as the
forcing will be have moved northeast across the Atlantic and
instability is expected to be mostly weak in the region.
..Bentley.. 12/18/2021
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z