Storm Prediction Center Oct 28, 2021 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook


Oct 28, 2021 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Oct 28 06:24:12 UTC 2021 ( \| )
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

Categorical Graphic

Day 3 Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Probabilistic Graphic

20211028 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

Day 3 Prob. Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

   SPC AC 280624

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0124 AM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021

   Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the
   contiguous United States on Saturday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low will move from VA to the Northeast U.S. and weaken
   during the period.  Strong forcing for ascent and the development of
   pockets of weak instability may yield isolated thunderstorms over
   New England.  Elsewhere, relatively tranquil conditions will prevail
   over a large part of the Lower 48 states.

   ..Smith.. 10/28/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z