Oct 31, 2021 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 31 07:16:20 UTC 2021 (20211031 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20211031 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211031 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20211031 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 310716

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0216 AM CDT Sun Oct 31 2021

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the
   contiguous United States on Tuesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level disturbance initially over the Four Corners will quickly
   move east into OK by early Wednesday morning while a trough remains
   centered over the Great Lakes.  In the low levels, extensive surface
   high pressure east of the Rockies will lead to mainly tranquil
   conditions over a large part of the Lower 48 states.  The exception
   will be over the southern Great Plains with weak isentropic
   lift/warm-air advection leading to increasing clouds and the chance
   for isolated showers/thunderstorms by late in the day.  The chance
   for a cluster or two of weak elevated thunderstorms will likely
   increase Tuesday night from the South Plains eastward near the Red
   River.

   ..Smith.. 10/31/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z