SPC AC 020655

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0155 AM CDT Tue Nov 02 2021

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the
   contiguous United States on Thursday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A larger-scale mid-level trough over the eastern half of the CONUS
   will feature a disturbance moving from east TX into the central Gulf
   of Mexico during the period.  In the low levels, a front in deep
   south TX will push southeastward as a weak surface low develops and
   moves into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by early Friday morning. 
   Showers and thunderstorms will expand in coverage over the eastern
   Gulf on Thursday evening into Thursday night with thunderstorms
   mainly affecting the western portion of the FL Peninsula and lower
   Keys.  Relatively weak lapse rates/modest low-level moisture will
   limit overall thunderstorm intensity over the FL Peninsula through
   Thursday night.  

   Elsewhere, a mid-level trough will move from the Pacific Northwest
   into the northern High Plains while a subsequent upstream trough
   approaches the Pacific Northwest coast by early Friday morning.

   ..Smith.. 11/02/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z