Nov 3, 2021 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 3 07:21:24 UTC 2021 (20211103 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20211103 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211103 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20211103 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 030721

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0221 AM CDT Wed Nov 03 2021

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
   States on Friday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level trough initially over the Gulf of Mexico will move east
   to the FL Peninsula while a series of progressive shortwave troughs
   move across the northwest and north-central states.  A weak surface
   low forecast to develop over the eastern Gulf of Mexico by early
   Friday morning will move east across the FL Peninsula by late Friday
   evening.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible as
   large-scale ascent increases during the day.  However, thunderstorm
   intensity will likely be limited due in part to relatively meager
   lapse rates and modest low-level flow.

   ..Smith.. 11/03/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z