Nov 5, 2021 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 5 07:11:01 UTC 2021 (20211105 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20211105 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211105 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20211105 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 050711

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0211 AM CDT Fri Nov 05 2021

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

   ...Synopsis...

   A broad, low-amplitude mid/upper trough will spread across the
   Intermountain West to the northern Plains/Upper Midwest on Sunday. A
   few lightning flashes are possible along the WA and northwest OR
   coasts as a couple of shortwave impulses move inland. Meanwhile, an
   upper ridge will shift east of the Mississippi River while the
   eastern upper trough tracks offshore into the western Atlantic. A
   surface cold front will develop east/southeast across the
   northern/central Plains vicinity, but a lack of moisture and a
   stable boundary-layer will preclude thunderstorm activity.

   ..Leitman.. 11/05/2021

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z