Nov 6, 2021 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 6 06:54:35 UTC 2021 (20211106 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20211106 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211106 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20211106 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060654

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 AM CDT Sat Nov 06 2021

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

   ...Synopsis...

   A progressive mid/upper level pattern will bring a shortwave trough
   eastward from the Great Basin toward the MS Valley on Monday. Upper
   troughing will persist across the West as a series of shortwave
   troughs continue to impinge on the Pacific coast, bringing areas of
   showers and heavy rain. At the surface, a cold front will slowly
   progress southeast across parts of the mid-MS valley and
   southern/central Plains. However, poor boundary-layer moisture and
   little instability will preclude thunderstorm potential near the
   front. Surface high pressure will persist over the eastern CONUS,
   bringing tranquil weather conditions.

   ..Leitman.. 11/06/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z