Nov 9, 2021 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 9 07:53:52 UTC 2021 (20211109 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20211109 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20211109 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20211109 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 090753

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0153 AM CST Tue Nov 09 2021

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.

   ...Synopsis...

   An upper low will reside over the northern Plains/Upper Midwest with
   an attendant trough extending southeast to the lower MS Valley
   Thursday morning. The upper low will deepen as it shifts east toward
   the upper Great Lakes while a broad trough envelops much of the
   CONUS east of the Rockies. At the surface, a cold front will sweep
   eastward across the Southeast and Midwest, extending from the
   Mid-Atlantic to northern FL by Friday morning. Isolated
   thunderstorms will be possible across much of the Southeast.
   However, severe thunderstorm potential will remain low as widespread
   precipitation and cloud cover limit destabilization.

   ..Leitman.. 11/09/2021

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z