DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0755 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2022 VALID TIME 220100Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46416741 44816999 43577226 42467619 41237955 42727992 0.02 33639463 35489223 36349078 37438940 37528734 36638688 34988845 34239001 33139217 32849411 33639463 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45696718 44446966 43577142 42837301 41717665 39738057 38048394 36728547 34938676 33338765 31728885 30449102 30259358 29149756 28149933 27370017 99999999 29270092 31919900 34459500 36389145 38098876 39528351 40608184 42648050 0.15 46426742 44826997 43547238 42407633 41097977 42368002 43117953 0.15 28990079 31689843 32859683 34649381 36289087 37398932 37508743 36838685 34948837 33339163 30559577 29299830 28030028 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28860127 32019892 34519484 36429145 38098876 39548341 40618188 42658032 99999999 45726715 44446970 43597132 42817300 41717665 40407948 39588077 37968400 36878527 35458656 33398760 31728881 30519097 30229374 29319691 28149936 27519988 0.15 28740085 31749829 33989494 36289087 37398940 37548747 36838685 34978832 33179181 30559577 28989862 27820048 0.15 46416738 44826997 43567224 42527615 41107963 42798014 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 28850086 31689842 32819690 34269440 36229092 37398936 37508743 36798677 34978832 33049207 30559569 29139857 27960030 SLGT 46396745 44806999 43547235 42827499 42457619 41107971 42608004 MRGL 29140112 31949888 33549649 35809246 36699096 38098876 39548337 40578189 42458048 99999999 45686722 44466967 43577139 42807303 41717666 40407948 39588077 37968400 36818537 35188660 33458759 31538903 30489101 30219354 29149741 28119936 27530004 TSTM 29520202 31110104 32919881 35909424 37969071 39118980 40158787 40718438 42448208 99999999 42916950 42537280 41187563 41187563 39987688 38427738 37937602 37147493 99999999 27229654 26879957 99999999 49231709 47211451 45671287 44561252 43841444 43931764 44432040 46372170 49332286 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S DRT 30 ESE BWD DAL 15 N DEQ ARG 15 NE CGI 20 SW OWB 25 WSW BWG 45 WNW MSL 35 N MLU 20 SW UTS 30 SSW SAT 60 WNW LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE HUL 35 NNW AUG LEB 30 SE UCA 15 E ITH 20 SSE FKL 35 NNE ERI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW DRT 10 NNE BWD 15 SE GYI 30 S FLP 30 WSW POF 15 SSE MVN 40 SW CMH 35 SW CAK 30 NNW ERI ...CONT... 40 SE HUL 10 NE AUG LCI 30 NNE PSF 35 SSE ELM 10 NNW LBE 40 ENE PKB 35 E LEX 60 E BWG 40 NNE HSV 15 N TCL 20 ENE PIB 55 NW MSY 20 WNW LCH 35 NW VCT 25 SSW COT 35 W LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE 6R6 35 WSW SJT 45 WNW MWL 10 SSW FYV 20 NW FAM 20 NE ALN 15 WSW DNV 45 WSW FDY 40 ESE MTC ...CONT... 65 SE PWM 25 ENE PSF 10 SSE AVP 10 SSE AVP 15 S CXY 35 SSW DCA 30 W WAL 60 SSE WAL ...CONT... 70 ESE CRP 45 S LRD ...CONT... 115 N GEG 30 NW MSO 25 SW BTM 10 W MQM 25 NNW SUN 65 S BKE 40 ENE RDM 55 WSW YKM 40 NNW BLI.