Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 060036
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Wed Jan 05 2022
Valid 060100Z - 061200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Inland thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.
...Discussion...
As a mid-level short-wave trough continues crossing the Great
Lakes/Northeast tonight, an ongoing band of convection -- stretching
from the North Carolina Outer Banks north-northeastward across Cape
Cod and far eastern Maine -- will likewise continue shifting
eastward with time.
No onshore lightning has been observed, with just a few flashes
indicated over the past hour over the Gulf Stream, well east of the
North Carolina coast. With the continued eastward progression of
this convection, and all guidance suggesting rapidly diminishing
lightning potential over the next 1 to 3 hours, the thunder areas
are being removed at this time.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
..Goss.. 01/06/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z