Jan 7, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 7 05:53:19 UTC 2022 (20220107 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220107 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220107 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220107 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220107 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220107 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070553

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 PM CST Thu Jan 06 2022

   Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms may develop today in south Florida and tonight across
   parts of the Texas Coastal Plain. No severe threat is expected.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Zonal flow will be in place today across much of the continental
   United States as an upper-level trough moves eastward to near the
   Eastern Seaboard. At the surface, high pressure will exist across
   much of the central and eastern states. On the southern periphery of
   the area of high pressure, isolated thunderstorms will be possible
   in south Florida today and along the Texas Coastal Plain tonight
   where low-level moisture and instability will be sufficient for
   convection. But no severe threat is expected today or tonight.

   ..Broyles/Weinman.. 01/07/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z