Jan 7, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 7 16:04:28 UTC 2022 (20220107 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220107 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220107 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220107 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220107 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220107 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 071604

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1004 AM CST Fri Jan 07 2022

   Valid 071630Z - 081200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across south Florida today
   into early tonight, and mainly tonight along the Texas coast.

   ...South FL...
   Relatively dry and stable conditions will dominate the weather over
   most of the CONUS today.  One exception will be over south FL, where
   scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are
   expected.  Most of this activity will be offshore, but a few
   lightning flashes are expected inland during and after the
   peak-heating hours.

   ...TX Coast...
   Other scattered thunderstorms are expected to affect the middle and
   lower TX Gulf Coast.  Thunderstorms that are now increasing in
   coverage offshore will likely spread northwestward and inland after
   dark.  No severe storms are currently anticipated.

   ..Hart/Moore.. 01/07/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z