Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 071934
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0134 PM CST Fri Jan 07 2022
Valid 072000Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across south Florida today
into early tonight, and mainly tonight along the Texas coast.
...20Z Update...
No changes needed to the previous forecast. See previous discussion
appended below for more details.
..Mosier.. 01/07/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1004 AM CST Fri Jan 07 2022/
...South FL...
Relatively dry and stable conditions will dominate the weather over
most of the CONUS today. One exception will be over south FL, where
scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are
expected. Most of this activity will be offshore, but a few
lightning flashes are expected inland during and after the
peak-heating hours.
...TX Coast...
Other scattered thunderstorms are expected to affect the middle and
lower TX Gulf Coast. Thunderstorms that are now increasing in
coverage offshore will likely spread northwestward and inland after
dark. No severe storms are currently anticipated.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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