Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 110049
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 PM CST Mon Jan 10 2022
Valid 110100Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are expected across parts of central and south
Florida through tonight.
...DISCUSSION...
The latest water vapor imagery shows northwest mid-level flow from
the central and northern Plains to the Appalachians with an
upper-level trough near the eastern Seaboard. At the surface, a cold
front is located in south Florida. A moist airmass is present along
and to the south of the front, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE in
the 1000 to 1200 J/kg range. Thunderstorms are ongoing within the
unstable airmass along the east coast of Florida near West Palm
Beach. Other isolated storms are ongoing in far south Florida. A
chance of storms should persist in south Florida this evening. But
the advancing cold front will result in lessening instability,
making thunderstorm development more isolated with time.
..Broyles.. 01/11/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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