Jan 11, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 11 16:13:48 UTC 2022 (20220111 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220111 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220111 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220111 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220111 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220111 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 111613

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1013 AM CST Tue Jan 11 2022

   Valid 111630Z - 121200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunder will be possible today along immediate coastal
   areas of southeastern Florida.

   No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.  Showers and a
   few thunderstorms will continue to affect the coastal waters of
   southeast FL this afternoon, with a chance of a storm or two moving
   inland.  No severe storms are anticipated.

   ..Hart.. 01/11/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z