Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 111941
Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0141 PM CST Tue Jan 11 2022
Valid 112000Z - 121200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Occasional isolated thunderstorms remain possible along southeastern
Florida coastal areas late today through tonight.
...20Z Outlook Update...
...Southeastern Florida...
The surface frontal zone is stalling south of the peninsula, with a
northeasterly post-frontal onshore flow component and associated
friction induced convergence remaining focused along Atlantic
coastal areas. Beneath relatively cold mid-level temperatures,
objective analysis indicates that boundary-layer moisture remains
sufficient to support at least weak conditional instability as far
north as the Palm Beach vicinity, and this might not change much
through 12Z Wednesday. As a weak/low amplitude mid-level short wave
trough gradually digs across the central and southern peninsula late
this afternoon through tonight, the risk for showers and occasional
isolated thunderstorms seem likely to persist near coastal areas.
..Kerr.. 01/11/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1013 AM CST Tue Jan 11 2022/
No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast. Showers and a
few thunderstorms will continue to affect the coastal waters of
southeast FL this afternoon, with a chance of a storm or two moving
inland. No severe storms are anticipated.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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