Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 130055
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0655 PM CST Wed Jan 12 2022
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Showers and possibly a few thunderstorms may develop near
southeastern Florida coastal areas, mainly after midnight EST.
...Discussion...
In keeping with prior outlooks, some increase in convection is
expected across portions of the southern half of Florida, and
adjacent waters, as a weak short-wave trough shifting
east-southeastward across the southeastern U.S. traverses the area.
A few thunderstorms may evolve -- more likely offshore but possibly
just inland over southeastern portions of the Peninsula through
latter stages of the period.
Elsewhere, thunderstorms are not expected.
..Goss.. 01/13/2022
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z