Jan 13, 2022 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 13 16:00:43 UTC 2022 (20220113 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20220113 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20220113 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20220113 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20220113 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20220113 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 131600

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1000 AM CST Thu Jan 13 2022

   Valid 131630Z - 141200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   No thunderstorms are expected across the CONUS today.

   The scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms that affected the
   Florida Keys this morning have moved southeastward and offshore. 
   Drier and more stable air is spreading into the region, ending the
   risk of further deep convection.  Therefore, no thunderstorms are
   forecast over the CONUS.

   ..Hart.. 01/13/2022

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z