Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 131933
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0133 PM CST Thu Jan 13 2022
Valid 132000Z - 141200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.
through tonight.
...20Z Outlook Update...
No change from the prior outlook for today through 12Z Friday.
..Kerr.. 01/13/2022
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Thu Jan 13 2022/
The scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms that affected the
Florida Keys this morning have moved southeastward and offshore.
Drier and more stable air is spreading into the region, ending the
risk of further deep convection. Therefore, no thunderstorms are
forecast over the CONUS.
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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