Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 200526
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1126 PM CST Wed Jan 19 2022
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Thursday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level speed max will move from southern Texas this morning
into the southern Appalachians by Friday morning. At the surface, a
strong cold front will extend from the southern Appalachians to the
western Gulf of Mexico. This front will continue south through the
day into the northern Gulf of Mexico. A narrow corridor of moisture
may extend a few counties inland from southern Louisiana to the
Florida Panhandle ahead of this front. This may be sufficient for
some thunderstorm development, however, the greater thunderstorm
coverage is expected offshore where mid to upper 60s dewpoints will
be located. Any thunderstorm development onshore is expected to
remain sub-severe due to a combination of weak lapse rates, limited
instability, and weak flow in the lowest 3km.
..Bentley/Moore.. 01/20/2022
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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